Tajvansko pitanje u suvremenim američko-kineskim odnosima

master's thesis

• Title (english): The Issue of Taiwan in Contemporary U.S.-China Relations
• Author: Kristijan Kolić
• Mentor: Đana Luša (mentor)
• Committee member: Đana Luša (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Dejan Jović (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Petar Popović (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; The Faculty of Political Science; Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2020-09-25, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES; Political Science

Abstract

U radu smo nastojali odgovoriti na pitanje postoji li optimalno rješenje za tajvansko pitanje te dati osvrt na nekoliko mogućih opcija. Prva opcija je de jure proglašenje neovisnosti Tajvana od NR Kine i promjena imena političkog entiteta iz Republika Kina (ROC) u Tajvan. Druga opcija je ujedinjenje Tajvana s državom maticom pod zajedničkom suverenom vlasti, uz mogućnost očuvanja autonomne uprave. Treća opcija bi bila održavati status quo dok okolnosti ne postanu povoljnije. Rad koristi realizam kao teorijsku paradigmu sa svrhom naglašavanja kompetitivne prirode suvremenih američko - kineskih odnosa. Sjedinjene Američke Države nastoje putem politike strateške dvostranosti očuvati status quo najmoćnije sile u azijsko pacifičkoj regiji, dok Narodna Republika Kina nastoji širiti vlastiti utjecaj u želji da se nametne kao vodeća sila u regiji. Time Kina igra ulogu države izazivačice postojećeg međunarodnog poretka. Pokušali smo višedimenzionalno prikazati vanjskopolitičku poziciju spomenutih država prema problemu napetih odnosa u Tajvanskom tjesnacu. Istraživanje je pokazalo da je tajvansko pitanje u trenutnim međunarodnim okolnostima nerješivo na zadovoljstvo svih uključenih aktera. Status quo se pokazao kao trenutno optimalna pozicija. Da bi došlo do spontanog rješavanja tajvanskog pitanja mora doći do velike turbulencije koja bi uzdrmala ili potpuno srušila postojeći poredak. Svako drugo rješenje izazvalo bi nezadovoljstvo barem jednog od aktera. Stavovi javnosti na Tajvanu i SAD-u još uvijek ukazuju na široku prihvaćenost statusa quo, dok se u Kini zbog same prirode vladajućeg režima ne uzima u obzir stav javnosti. Rad uključuje elemente ekonomske, društvene i političke analize kojima je svrha da budu alati u širem razumijevanju specifičnih vanjskih politika koje vode SAD, Narodna Republika Kina i Tajvan (Republika Kina).

Abstract (english)

Abstract
In this paper we have strived to answer the question is there an optimal solution for the Taiwan issue and to offer a broad review of some intrusive options. The first option is a de jure declaration of independence from the People’s Republic of China and changing the official name of the political entity from the Republic of China (ROC) to Taiwan. The second option is the unification with the mother country under unique sovereignty with the possibility of maintaining autonomous governance. The third option would be maintaining the status quo in Taiwan Strait until circumstances become more favorable to find the solution. This paper uses realism as a theoretical paradigm with the purpose to emphasize the competitive nature of contemporary US-China relations. The policy of strategic ambiguity is used as a tool for preserving the status quo of the world`s superpower in the Taiwan strait. On the other hand, China strives to expand its influence with the goal of becoming the leading state in Pacific region. As the process of implementation of the assertive development-oriented policy has shown, China plays the role of a country that challenges the current international order. We have attempted to describe multidimensionality the positions behind policies that are used in relation to Taiwan issue. The research has shown that due to current international circumstances there is no optimal solution to the Taiwan issue which will be able to satisfy all affected actors. A major disruption of the international order is needed to achieve new circumstances that will induce actors to accept some sort of solution other than the status quo that has imposed itself as the best option. The public opinion on Taiwan and The US dominantly supports moderate policy agenda regarding Taiwan. In China, public opinion on the matter will stay purely researched due to the nature of the ruling regime. The paper includes some elements of economic, social, and political analysis with a simple purpose in mind, to improve understanding of foreign policies which are led by the US, People’s Republic of China, and Taiwan (Republic of China).

• Keywords: Tajvan; tajvansko pitanje; Kina; nacionalno pitanje; vanjska politika; strateška dvostranost
• Keywords (english): Taiwan; Taiwan issue; China; national issue; foreign policy; strategic ambiguity
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:114:449985
• Study programme: Title: Political Science; Study programme type: university; Study level: graduate; Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra politologije (magistar/magistra politologije)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Open access
• Created on: 2020-10-29 08:11:31