Asimetrično ratovanje u 21. stoljeću

professional thesis

• Title: Asimetrično ratovanje u 21. stoljeću : analiza rusko-ukrajinskog sukoba
• Title (english): Asymmetric warfare in the 21 st century : the russian-ukrainian conflict analysis
• Author: Ivan Damjanović
• Mentor: Slavko Barić (mentor)
• Committee member: Siniša Tatalović (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Slavko Barić (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Robert Barić (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; The Faculty of Political Science; Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2025-03-28, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES; Political Science

Abstract

Ovaj rad istražuje fenomen asimetričnog ratovanja u kontekstu rusko-ukrajinskog sukoba, s posebnim naglaskom na destabilizirajući učinak neregularnih snaga, gerilskih taktika i proxy ratovanja na konvencionalne vojne strategije. Analiza se usmjerava na utvrđivanje kako primjena tih asimetričnih metoda borbe smanjuje učinkovitost regularnih vojnih snaga te doprinosi produženju sukoba i ograničavanju vojnih i političkih uspjeha sukobljenih strana. U teorijskom dijelu rada definiraju se ključni pojmovi asimetričnog ratovanja te se daje povijesni pregled i kontekst rusko-ukrajinskog sukoba. Posebna pažnja posvećena je analizi kako su neregularne snage i gerilsko ratovanje utjecale na dinamiku sukoba, smanjujući učinkovitost tradicionalnih vojnih snaga. Nadalje, rad istražuje ulogu Ukrajine u širem kontekstu proxy ratovanja gdje se promatra kao sredstvo unutar geopolitičkog sukoba između Zapada i Rusije. Također se ispituju specifične karakteristike asimetričnog ratovanja koje su pridonijele produljenju sukoba i otežale postizanje konačnih vojnih i političkih rješenja za obje strane. Zaključak rada integrira nalaze iz analize i verificira početnu hipotezu koja glasi da asimetrično ratovanje u 21. stoljeću predstavlja izazov za konvencionalne vojne strategije. Pretpostavka je da sukob između Rusije i Ukrajine ukazuje kako uporaba neregularnih snaga i gerilskih metoda može značajno produžiti sukobe i ograničiti uspjeh sukobljenih strana, što ima šire geopolitičke implikacije. Ovaj rad doprinosi razumijevanju modernih vojnih sukoba i specifičnih izazova asimetričnog ratovanja.

Abstract (english)

This Paper explores the phenomenon of asymmetric warfare in the context of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, with special emphasys on destabilizing effects of irregular forces, guerrilla tactics and proxy warfare to the conventional military strategies. The analysis was focused on determining how those applied asymmetric methods decrease the efficiency of the regular military forces, thus prolonging the conflict, while limiting military and political success of the confronted adversaries at the same time. In the theoretical part of the Paper, key terms of asymmetric warfare were defined and historical overview of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict was given. Special attention was directed to analyze how the irregular forces and guerilla warfare influence the dynamics of the conflict, by reducing the efficiency of the traditional military forces. Furthermore, the paper explores the role of Ukraine in the wider context of proxy warfare, observed as a means in the geopolitical conflict between the West and Russia. In addition, the Paper examines how specific characteristics of asymmetric warfare contribute to the prolongation of the conflict and how they make the achievement of the final military goals more difficult for both sides. The Conclusion of the paper integrates the findings of the analysis and verifies the initial hypothesis, stating that the asymmetric warfare in the 21st century represents challenge to the conventional military strategies. Under the assumption that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine indicates the usage of the irregular forces and guerrilla methods as a significant factor to the prolonged conflict and limited success of both sides involved, which also has wider geopolitical implications, this Paper adds to the understanding of the contemporary military conflicts and the specific challenges of the asymmetric warfare.

• Keywords: Rusija; Ukrajina; asimetrično ratovanje; neregularne snage; gerilsko ratovanje; proxy ratovanje; besposadni zrakoplovni sustavi
• Keywords (english): Russia; Ukraine; asymmetric warfare; irregular forces; guerilla warfare; proxy warfare; remotely operated aerial systems
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:114:163503
• Study programme: Title: Security Politics of the Republic of Croatia; Study programme type: university; Study level: postgraduate specialist; Academic / professional title: sveučilišni/a specijalist/specijalistica za nacionalnu sigurnost (sveučilišni/a specijalist/specijalistica za nacionalnu sigurnost)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Open access
• Created on: 2025-04-22 09:51:58