Obavještajna analiza i donošenje odluka

master's thesis

• Title (english): Intelligence Analysis and Decision-Making
• Author: Mateo Matić
• Mentor: Robert Barić (mentor)
• Committee member: Robert Barić (predsjednik povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Boško Picula (član povjerenstva)
• Committee member: Petar Popović (član povjerenstva)
• Granter: University of Zagreb; The Faculty of Political Science; Zagreb
• Defense date and country: 2024-07-05, Croatia
• Scientific / art field, discipline and subdiscipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES; Political Science

Abstract

Cilj ovog rada je pojašnjavanje odnosa između obavještajnog djelovanja, posebice obavještajne analize, te procesa donošenja političkih i vojnih odluka. Rad se temelji na premisi da je kvalitetna i pravovremena obavještajna procjena jedna od najvažnijih alata u rukama donosioca odluka, bili oni zapovjednici na svim razinama vojne strukture ili pak političari i ostali donositelji politike na ključnim pozicijama. Rad najprije polaže temelje približavajući čitateljima važnost obavještajnog ciklusa, te zatim pojašnjava specifičnosti različitih obavještajnih disciplina te metoda obavještajne analize. Glavni dio rada fokusira se na obavještajnu potporu donositeljima odluka (zapovjednicima) na sve tri vojne razine – taktička, operativna i strateška. Posljednji dio rada daje kratki osvrt na važnost neprestanog razvoja tehnologije i utjecaj tog razvoja na obavještajnu djelatnost, kao i vojni sektor.

Abstract (english)

The aim of this thesis is to closely examine the relationship between intelligence activities, especially intelligence analysis, and the process of political and military decision-making. The paper is based on the premise that a high-quality and timely intelligence assessment is one of the most important tools in the hands of decision-makers, be they commanders at all levels of the military structure or politicians and other policy makers in key positions. The paper first lays the foundations by highlighting the importance of the intelligence cycle to the readers, and then explains the specifics of different intelligence gathering disciplines and methods of intelligence analysis. The main part of the thesis focuses on intelligence support for decision makers (commanders) at all three military levels - tactical, operational, and strategic. The last part of the thesis gives a brief overview of the importance of the continuous development of technology and the impact of this development on intelligence, as well as the military sector.

• Keywords: Obavještajna analiza; proces donošenja odluka; vojna strategija; donositelji odluka
• Keywords (english): Intelligence analysis; decision-making process; military strategy; decision-makers
• Language: croatian
• URN:NBN: urn:nbn:hr:114:392142
• Study programme: Title: Political Science - National security; specializations in: National security; Course: National security; Study programme type: university; Study level: graduate; Academic / professional title: magistar/magistra politologije (magistar/magistra politologije)
• Type of resource: Text
• File origin: Born digital
• Access conditions: Open access
• Created on: 2024-07-26 09:02:08